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Could the Great Plains Could Welcome Elephants by 2035?

Elephants. Image by Openverse.

The Great Plains of North America once hosted a remarkable diversity of megafauna—giant sloths, woolly mammoths, and American lions roamed these vast grasslands for millennia. Today, a bold and controversial rewilding proposal suggests bringing elephants to the region within the next decade. As climate change threatens elephant populations in Africa and zoo elephants seek more space, some scientists believe the Great Plains could offer a solution that benefits both elephants and the ecosystem. This revolutionary idea aims to restore ecological processes lost thousands of years ago while addressing modern conservation challenges. But could elephants actually roam the American heartland by 2035? The answer involves complex ecological science, practical considerations, and profound ethical questions about our relationship with wildlife and landscapes.

The Pleistocene Rewilding Concept

a field with mountains in the background
The Great Plains. Image via Unsplash.

The idea of reintroducing elephants to North America stems from a larger ecological theory called Pleistocene rewilding. This concept proposes restoring ecosystems to conditions similar to those that existed before human-caused extinctions approximately 13,000 years ago. During the Pleistocene epoch, relatives of modern elephants—mammoths and mastodons—were keystone species across North America, including the Great Plains. They shaped the environment by knocking down trees, creating grasslands, dispersing seeds, and maintaining a mosaic landscape that supported tremendous biodiversity. Proponents argue that introducing modern elephants, particularly African elephants, as ecological proxies could help restore these lost ecosystem functions and create more resilient landscapes in the face of climate change.

The American Prairie’s Elephant History

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Elephants via Pixabay

The connection between elephants and North America runs deep. Proboscideans—the order including elephants, mammoths, and mastodons—actually evolved in North America before spreading to other continents. Columbian mammoths, standing up to 14 feet tall at the shoulder, dominated the Great Plains until approximately 13,000 years ago. Their disappearance, along with other megafauna, coincided with human arrival and dramatic climate shifts at the end of the last ice age. The environmental impacts of losing these ecosystem engineers were profound. Grasslands changed character, plant communities shifted, and numerous dependent species declined. Today’s Great Plains ecosystem functions without the influence of these massive herbivores, representing what ecologists call an “ecological anachronism”—an environment missing key components from its evolutionary history.

The Conservation Crisis Driving Bold Solutions

2 brown elephants on green grass field during daytime
2 brown elephants on green grass field during daytime. Image via Unsplash.

The proposal to bring elephants to America isn’t merely academic—it responds to urgent conservation challenges. African elephant populations have declined dramatically due to habitat loss, human conflict, and poaching. The African savanna elephant is now listed as endangered, while the African forest elephant is critically endangered. Asian elephants face even greater threats, with habitat fragmentation reducing their range by over 85% in the past century. Meanwhile, captive elephants in zoos often suffer in limited spaces that cannot accommodate their size, intelligence, and social needs. Climate change further threatens remaining elephant habitat in Africa and Asia. The rewilding proposal offers a potential sanctuary for elephants while restoring ecological processes to North American prairies—a creative solution to multiple problems.

Ecological Benefits of Elephant Introduction

A group of Asian elephants roaming in a nature-themed zoo environment, surrounded by lush greenery.
Young elephants. Image via Unsplash.

Elephants could provide profound ecological services to the Great Plains ecosystem. As “ecosystem engineers,” elephants physically alter their environment in ways that benefit numerous other species. They create habitat diversity by selectively browsing vegetation, maintaining open grasslands by preventing woody encroachment, and creating water holes through digging. Elephant dung serves as an important fertilizer and seed dispersal mechanism—studies in Africa show over 300 plant species germinate from elephant dung. Research suggests that introducing elephants to the Great Plains could help control invasive species, increase plant diversity, and create microhabitats for small mammals, birds, and insects. The ecological benefits could cascade through the food web, potentially increasing biodiversity across multiple trophic levels.

Climate Change Adaptation Through Rewilding

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Elephants. Image via Unsplash

One of the most compelling arguments for elephant introduction involves climate resilience. The Great Plains faces increasing threats from climate change, including more frequent droughts, rising temperatures, and shifting precipitation patterns. Research suggests that elephants could help prairie ecosystems adapt to these changes. Their grazing and browsing patterns reduce woody plant encroachment, maintaining grasslands that sequester carbon more efficiently in their extensive root systems than shrublands. Elephants create fire breaks that can help manage increasingly intense wildfires. Their wallowing and dusting behaviors create depressions that collect water, providing drought refugia for other species. By restoring these ecological functions, elephants might help the Great Plains ecosystem become more resilient to climate extremes, benefiting both wildlife and human communities dependent on these landscapes.

Practical Challenges: Habitat Requirements

Reunion of Elephants.
Reunion of Elephants. Image via Canva

For elephants to thrive in the Great Plains, they would need suitable habitat meeting several specific requirements. A founding population would require thousands of contiguous acres with access to water sources, varied vegetation for browsing and grazing, and shelter from extreme weather. Winter temperatures pose a particular challenge, though studies of woolly mammoths suggest adaptations to cold are possible, and modern elephants have demonstrated remarkable adaptability in zoological settings with proper care. The American Prairie Reserve in Montana, which currently encompasses over 400,000 acres, represents one potential location with the necessary scale. Other possible locations include parts of the Dakotas, Nebraska, and Kansas where large ranches could be converted to wildlife preserves. Initial introduction would likely require protected areas with some form of containment, gradually transitioning to more open landscapes as herds establish.

Economic Implications and Opportunities

tow brown elephants on pasture during daytime
Wild Elephants. Image via Unsplash.

Introducing elephants to the Great Plains would have significant economic dimensions. Initial costs would be substantial, including land acquisition, infrastructure development, elephant transportation, and ongoing management. However, proponents point to potential economic benefits through ecotourism. Elephant preserves could draw visitors to economically challenged rural regions, creating jobs in tourism, research, and conservation. Comparisons to the economic impact of wolf reintroduction in Yellowstone—estimated at over $35 million annually—suggest the potential for significant regional economic benefits. Additionally, carbon offset markets might provide funding mechanisms, as restored grassland ecosystems sequester substantial amounts of carbon. Agricultural models incorporating elephant-managed landscapes could develop new sustainable land use patterns combining conservation and food production, potentially opening new economic pathways for regions facing agricultural challenges due to climate change.

Potential Conflicts with Human Activities

two gray elephants during daytime
two gray elephants during daytime in a zoo. Photo by Irene Grace Tolentino via Unsplash.

Human-elephant conflict represents one of the most significant challenges to the rewilding proposal. In their native ranges, elephants occasionally damage crops, infrastructure, and occasionally pose direct threats to human safety. Introducing elephants to the Great Plains would require careful planning to prevent such conflicts. Strategies might include establishing buffer zones between elephant ranges and agricultural areas, developing compensation programs for affected landowners, and installing specialized fencing around critical infrastructure. Public education would be essential, as most Americans have no experience coexisting with large, potentially dangerous wildlife. Conflicts with existing land uses—particularly agriculture, energy development, and transportation corridors—would need resolution through collaborative planning processes involving diverse stakeholders. Local acceptance would be crucial for any successful introduction program, requiring extensive community engagement long before any elephants arrived.

grey elephant walking on grey concrete pavement during daytime
Elephants. Image via Unsplash

The regulatory path to elephant introduction presents complex challenges. Multiple federal agencies would have jurisdiction, including the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, which regulates endangered species and non-native wildlife. The Endangered Species Act would provide protections but also impose restrictions on management. State wildlife agencies would need to develop new regulatory frameworks for managing non-native megafauna. International agreements, particularly the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES), would govern any transfer of elephants from their native ranges. New legislation might be necessary to establish the legal status of introduced elephants and management authorities. The process would likely involve environmental impact statements, public comment periods, and potentially court challenges. Developing this regulatory framework would require years of work before any actual introduction could occur, making the 2035 timeframe ambitious but not impossible.

Animal Welfare Considerations

Adult African elephant and calf walking side by side in the sunny savanna.
Elephants in the wild part of the natural ecosystem helping in the fight against climate change through their role in forest maintenance and water conservation Image via Pixabay.

Any elephant introduction proposal must prioritize the welfare of the animals involved. Elephants are highly intelligent, social creatures with complex psychological and emotional needs. Transplanting them to a new continent raises serious ethical questions. Source populations would need careful selection—perhaps focusing on elephants already in captivity or those facing imminent habitat loss. Transportation would require sophisticated methods to minimize stress. Once in North America, elephants would need time to adjust to new environments, possibly requiring protected acclimation areas. Ongoing monitoring of physical and psychological health would be essential, with intervention protocols for injured or ill animals. The social structure of elephant herds would need preservation or careful reconstruction, as elephants suffer when deprived of appropriate social contexts. Critics question whether introducing elephants to a non-native range serves the best interests of individual animals, even if it benefits the species and ecosystem.

Scientific Research Opportunities

gray elephant playing with mud
Excited elephant. Image via Unsplash

An elephant rewilding project would create unprecedented research opportunities across multiple disciplines. Ecologists could study in real-time how a keystone species reshapes an ecosystem, informing restoration science globally. Wildlife biologists could gain insights into elephant adaptation to new environments, potentially revealing evolutionary mechanisms relevant to conservation in changing climates. Veterinary science would advance through monitoring elephant health in new conditions. Social scientists could examine human-wildlife conflict resolution and community adaptation. Archaeological research might compare modern elephant impacts with paleontological evidence from mammoth times, testing theories about Pleistocene ecology. The project would essentially constitute a grand ecological experiment, generating data applicable to conservation challenges worldwide. Research stations associated with elephant reserves could become centers for innovation in restoration ecology, attracting international scientific collaboration and establishing the Great Plains as a laboratory for studying ecosystem restoration and climate resilience.

Public Opinion and Cultural Considerations

A herd of elephants, including a baby elephant, walking together across the savannah, displaying strong family bonds.
A wild animal family of elephants, moving in harmony across the open plains, exemplifying the deep familial connections within wildlife.Photo by Rachel Claire via pexels

Public acceptance would ultimately determine the feasibility of elephant introduction, and current opinions vary widely. Surveys suggest Americans generally support wildlife conservation but hold complex views about reintroducing large, potentially dangerous species. Rural residents, whose communities would most directly interact with elephants, often express the greatest concerns about safety and economic impacts. Native American tribes, whose ancestors coexisted with mammoths and mastodons, have varied perspectives on rewilding, with some supporting restoration of historical ecological relationships and others prioritizing indigenous species. Cultural representations of elephants in America—from circus entertainment to symbols of conservation—shape public perceptions in complex ways. Effective public engagement would require acknowledgment of these diverse viewpoints, transparent communication about risks and benefits, and collaborative planning that incorporates local knowledge and concerns. Building public support would require years of community dialogue, educational outreach, and stakeholder involvement well before any actual introduction.

Timeline and Feasibility for 2035

A group of elephants walking near a waterhole, with young elephants in the group, surrounded by natural vegetation and a mountain backdrop.
A family of elephants cautiously approaches a waterhole, highlighting how wild animals often display greater fear of humans than their natural predators. Photo by Pixabay

Is 2035 a realistic target for establishing elephants in the Great Plains? Experts suggest this timeline is ambitious but not impossible with dedicated resources and political will. The process would require several distinct phases: 1) Research and planning (2023-2027), involving site selection, regulatory framework development, and scientific baseline studies; 2) Infrastructure development (2027-2030), including habitat preparation, containment systems, and monitoring technologies; 3) Initial introduction (2030-2033), beginning with a small founder population in a controlled setting; and 4) Establishment and expansion (2033-2040), gradually increasing range and population size. Successful rewilding projects like the Pleistocene Park in Siberia and bison reintroduction in the American Plains demonstrate that large-scale restoration is possible within decades. However, the unprecedented nature of elephant introduction means that unexpected challenges would likely extend timelines. A more conservative estimate might place established, free-ranging elephant populations in the Great Plains by 2040-2045, with limited, experimental introduction possible by 2035.

Conclusion: Elephants on the Horizon

Asian elephants (Elephas maximus) feeding in the Pinnawela Elephants Orphanage, Pinnawela, Sri Lanka, Asia. Image via Depositphotos.

The possibility of elephants roaming the Great Plains by 2035 represents both a radical vision and a practical response to converging ecological crises. While numerous challenges exist—from climate adaptation to regulatory frameworks, from public acceptance to animal welfare—none appear insurmountable with sufficient commitment and resources. The proposal forces us to reconsider fundamental assumptions about conservation, challenging the notion that species protection must occur only within historical ranges. As climate change reshapes ecosystems worldwide, creative approaches to conservation become increasingly necessary. Whether elephants ultimately walk the American prairie depends less on technical feasibility than on our collective willingness to reimagine our relationship with landscapes and wildlife. The coming decade will reveal whether this bold vision remains a thought experiment or becomes one of the most ambitious ecological restoration projects in human history—a new chapter in the ancient relationship between humans, elephants, and the landscapes we share.