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Experts Say Relentless Floods of 2024 in Vermont Could Become the New Normal

Scientists Say Relentless Floods of 2024 in Vermont Could Become the New Normal
Floodwater surround buildings in downtown Montpelier, Vermont, on Tuesday. Brandon Clement/LSM

As the calendar turned to July 2024, the state of Vermont found itself once again in the grip of historic flooding. What began as a series of intense rainstorms quickly escalated into a full-scale disaster, with towns submerged, roads washed away, and communities left grappling with the devastation. For many Vermonters, this was a chilling reminder of past floods, but scientists warn that such catastrophic flooding may soon become a permanent fixture in the region’s climate narrative.

The Rising Tide of Climate Change

Scientists Say Relentless Floods of 2024 in Vermont Could Become the New Normal
(Peter Hirschfeld / Vermont Public) Andy Poginy stands on a deck that used to look out over a large lawn. Flash flooding late last month rerouted the Hawkins Brook in Lyndonville and now poses an increased threat to homes such as Poginy’s.

The relentless floods battering Vermont are not just a result of random weather patterns; they are part of a broader trend fueled by climate change. As the planet warms, the atmosphere holds more moisture, leading to stronger, more saturated storms. This has significant implications for the United States, particularly along the East Coast, where precipitation is expected to rise by a staggering 52% by the end of the century.

Peter Banacos, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service, points out that “there’s more moisture available in the atmosphere as the climate warms. We’re seeing higher dew points and more moisture-laden air masses making it up into our latitude.” This moisture-laden air has been the catalyst for the relentless downpours that have turned quiet rivers into raging torrents, overwhelming the state’s infrastructure and threatening to reshape its landscape.

Infrastructure Under Siege

Scientists Say Relentless Floods of 2024 in Vermont Could Become the New Normal
A closed flood-damaged trail is shown Aug. 14, 2024, at Kingdom Trails in Burke, Vt. (credit: AP)

Vermont’s infrastructure is straining under the pressure of these intensified weather events. Roads, bridges, culverts, and wastewater facilities, many of which were not designed to withstand such extreme conditions, are in serious jeopardy. The state’s network of dams, many of which were built decades ago for purposes far removed from flood control, are particularly vulnerable. Last year’s floods saw five dams fail and around 60 dams overtopped, underscoring the urgent need for modernization.

These aging structures, initially designed to power textile mills or provide water for irrigation, are now woefully inadequate in the face of the new climate reality. As storms grow more intense, these dams are being pushed beyond their limits, raising concerns about their ability to protect communities from flooding in the future.

A Multidecade Mission for Resilience

flooding vermont
Drone video taken over Londonderry, Vermont, on Monday shows the scale of the flooding. Courtesy R. McDonough/Phoenix Vol. Fire Co.

Recognizing the existential threat posed by climate change, Vermont state officials have embarked on a multidecade project aimed at strengthening the state’s infrastructure to endure the effects of increasingly severe weather. This ambitious initiative focuses on replacing and repairing vulnerable structures, while also establishing statewide floodplain standards that take into account the heightened risks of flooding.

However, the scale of the challenge is immense. Vermont’s officials are not just battling the immediate damage caused by each storm but also the long-term need to adapt to a rapidly changing climate. This includes rethinking how communities are built, where critical infrastructure is located, and how natural landscapes can be leveraged to mitigate the impact of future floods.

Stories of Resilience and Adaptation

Scientists Say Relentless Floods of 2024 in Vermont Could Become the New Normal
A man carries belongings through floodwaters from a home in Bridgewater, Vermont, on Monday. Hasan Jamali/AP

For those living in flood-prone areas of Vermont, the battle against rising waters is deeply personal. Take, for example, the town of Waterbury, where residents have faced repeated evacuations over the years. Yet, instead of giving up, the community has come together to rebuild stronger each time. The town has invested in flood-resistant buildings, relocated critical infrastructure, and created new floodplains to absorb excess water. These efforts are a testament to the resilience and determination of Vermonters, who are learning to live with what may soon be a permanent reality.

Then there’s the story of Middlebury, where local farmers are adopting new practices to cope with the increasingly unpredictable weather. By diversifying crops, improving soil health, and utilizing innovative water management techniques, they are working to safeguard their livelihoods against the dual threats of flooding and drought. These changes, while challenging, are necessary steps in adapting to the evolving climate landscape.

The Path Forward: Embracing a New Normal

Say Relentless Floods of 2024 in Vermont Could Become the New Normal
Zac Drown, of Lyndon Electric Co., clears debris amid flood damage in Lyndon, Vt., on Tuesday.Dmitry Belyakov / AP

As Vermont continues to experience the effects of climate change firsthand, the importance of adaptation becomes ever more apparent. The state’s current efforts to bolster infrastructure and implement floodplain standards are crucial, but they are only the beginning. The path forward requires a comprehensive approach that includes not only physical infrastructure improvements but also policy changes, community engagement, and an unwavering commitment to sustainability.

The relentless floods of 2024 are a stark reminder that the impacts of climate change are not a distant threat—they are happening now. As Vermont faces this new normal, the lessons learned here will be invaluable for other regions confronting similar challenges. In the face of adversity, Vermont’s response will serve as a blueprint for resilience, adaptation, and ultimately, survival in a world where extreme weather events are becoming increasingly common.

Vermont’s Battle Against the Waters

flooding vermont
Mud and floodwater blocks a street as cleanup efforts begin in Barre, Vermont. Charles Krupa/AP

The story of Vermont’s relentless floods is one of both struggle and hope. As climate change continues to drive more severe and frequent weather events, Vermont is at the forefront of the battle against these forces. The state’s efforts to adapt and strengthen its infrastructure, while still in progress, reflect a broader reality that many regions will soon face. The floods may be relentless, but so too is the spirit of the people determined to weather the storm and emerge stronger on the other side.